Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Prediction
Module: Sustainable Tech | Difficulty: Premium
Atmospheric Dynamics
The Navier-Stokes equations for atmospheric flow:
Forecast Skill Scores
Comparison
| Model | Resolution | Forecast Range | ACC at Day 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| GFS | 13 km | 16 days | 0.75 |
| ECMWF IFS | 9 km | 15 days | 0.85 |
| Pangu-Weather | 25 km | 7 days | 0.88 |
| GraphCast | 25 km | 10 days | 0.92 |
Python Implementation
import torch
import torch.nn as nn
class ClimateTransformer(nn.Module):
def __init__(self, n_variables=69, embed_dim=256, n_heads=8, n_layers=6):
super().__init__()
self.embedding = nn.Conv2d(n_variables, embed_dim, kernel_size=1)
encoder_layer = nn.TransformerEncoderLayer(d_model=embed_dim, nhead=n_heads, dim_feedforward=1024, batch_first=True)
self.transformer = nn.TransformerEncoder(encoder_layer, num_layers=n_layers)
self.output = nn.Conv2d(embed_dim, n_variables, kernel_size=1)
def forward(self, x):
B, C, H, W = x.shape
emb = self.embedding(x).flatten(2).permute(0, 2, 1)
out = self.transformer(emb)
out = out.permute(0, 2, 1).reshape(B, -1, H, W)
return self.output(out)
Research Insight: Foundation models like Pangu-Weather and GraphCast have surpassed traditional NWP models at medium range, running 10,000x faster on single GPUs.